Friday, October 21, 2011

Baltic Trading Limited – Earnings Estimate For 2011 Q3

For the quarter ended September 30th, 2011, we estimate that Baltic Trading Limited (NYSE: BALT) generated a net loss of $100,000 or ($0.01) basic earnings per share. We estimate that the company’s net TCE revenues for the quarter were $10,600,000 & the fleet average TCE was $12,800. We also estimate that during the third quarter of 2011 BALT generated EBITDA of $4,700,000.

During the previous two quarters BALT has declared cash dividends ranging between 45%-50% of EBITDA. We expect that the company will continue the same dividend policy, and on this basis we forecast that BALT will declare a dividend of $0.10 per share for the third quarter of 2011.

As of September 30th, 2011, we estimate that the company had $101,250,000 in debt outstanding and a total capitalization of $383,000,000. Its debt to capitalization ratio stood at 26.4%. BALT had a remaining $45,000,000 under its amended 2010 credit facility, to finance future vessel acquisitions and for working capital purposes.

Based on yesterday’s closing price of $5.54 per share, we estimate that BALT has an enterprise value of $220,000,000.

BALT operates a modern diversified fleet of 9 dry cargo vessels, consisting of 3 handy size vessels, 4 supramax size vessels and two cape size vessels, with a total DWT capacity of approximately 670,000 MT, and an average age of 1.9 years as of September 30th, 2011.